BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Thornburg Tri-County

Class: 1A Class Rank: 32 Conference: (13-8) Overall: (13-9) Overall Strength =   54.51

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2004 Away    L *  51.04  31   40   2A   59 (16- 7) Belle Plaine           -2.75     -6.25                      
  2 12/03/2004 Home    W *  46.63  71   41   2A  129 ( 0-22) Sigourney              -7.17 *   37.17                      
  3 12/07/2004 Away    W *  63.54  67   65   2A   47 (20- 4) Montezuma               9.74     -7.74                      
  4 12/10/2004 Home    W *  54.42  65   49   2A  112 ( 7-15) Brooklyn BGM            0.62     15.38                      
  5 12/11/2004 Away    W *  71.87  76   54   1A   65 (14-12) Lynnville-Sully        18.08      3.92                      
  6 12/14/2004 Home    W *  65.82  64   45   1A   57 (12-11) Keota                  12.03      6.97                      
  7 12/17/2004 Home    W *  61.96  82   51   1A  119 ( 3-19) English Valleys         8.16     22.84                      
  8 12/21/2004 Away    L *  45.57  46   49   1A   61 (10-13) Victor HLV             -8.23      5.23                      
  9 01/07/2005 Away    W *  56.09  50   38   1A   92 ( 9-14) Marengo Iowa Valley     2.29      9.71                      
 10 01/14/2005 Away    W *  39.97  60   40   2A  129 ( 0-22) Sigourney             -13.82 *   33.82                      
 11 01/18/2005 Home    L *  60.94  37   53   1A    1 (27- 1) North Mahaska           7.14    -23.14                      
 12 01/21/2005 Home    L *  50.19  39   47   2A   47 (20- 4) Montezuma              -3.60     -4.40                      
 13 01/25/2005 Away    L *  36.76  31   36   2A  112 ( 7-15) Brooklyn BGM          -17.04     12.04                      
 14 01/26/2005 Home    W *  66.70  60   50   2A   59 (16- 7) Belle Plaine           12.91     -2.91  was 01/11/05 now 01/26/05
 15 01/28/2005 Home    W *  75.53  55   26   1A   65 (14-12) Lynnville-Sully        21.74      7.26                      
 16 02/01/2005 Away    L *  38.17  49   61   1A   57 (12-11) Keota                 -15.63      3.63                      
 17 02/04/2005 Away    W *  39.30  53   48   1A  119 ( 3-19) English Valleys       -14.50     19.50                      
 18 02/08/2005 Home    W *  57.23  45   33   1A   61 (10-13) Victor HLV              3.43      8.57                      
 19 02/11/2005 Away    L    43.18  52   63   1A   41 (17- 5) Walnut Ridge          -10.61     -0.39                      
 20 02/15/2005 Home    W *  59.75  54   35   1A   92 ( 9-14) Marengo Iowa Valley     5.95     13.05                      
 21 02/18/2005 Away    L *  61.28  59   78   1A    1 (27- 1) North Mahaska           7.48 *  -26.48                      
 22 02/23/2005 Away    L *  37.57  42   53   1A   61 (10-13) Victor HLV            -16.23      5.23                      
      Averages              53.80  54.0 48.0

Best game:   75.53 = 29 point win over Lynnville-Sully
Worst game:  36.76 = 5 point loss to Brooklyn BGM
Team stdev:  11.72